Gray Maynard vs Kafiz Sakibekov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-7-1Record11-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70,0"Reach-
145 lbsWeight147 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamBrave Fight Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gray MaynardKafiz Sakibekov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kafiz Sakibekov70%
Gray Maynard 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kafiz Sakibekov a 70% favorite over Gray Maynard in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gray Maynard's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1618), separated by just 1 points.
Gray Maynard finishes 15% of wins inside the distance, Kafiz Sakibekov 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.