Gray Maynard vs Kenny Florian
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-7-1Record14-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamFlorian Martial Arts Center
What's at stake
Kenny Florian is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Gray Maynard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1636
If they lose-14→ 1604
If they win+14→ 1675
If they lose-18→ 1643
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gray MaynardKenny Florian
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kenny Florian53%
Gray Maynard 47%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Kenny Florian a 53% favorite over Gray Maynard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Kenny Florian holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1661 to 1618, a 43-point edge.
Kenny Florian enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gray Maynard finishes 15% of wins inside the distance, Kenny Florian 86%.
Gray Maynard and Kenny Florian share 1 common opponent: Clay Guida.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.