Combat Edge Intelligence

Gray Maynard vs Rich Clementi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Gray Maynard
us

Gray Maynard

“The Bully”

13-7-1FeatherweightUFC

1618Solid

Tale of the tape

13-7-1Record45-23-1
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamTeam Voodoo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gray MaynardNow 1618
If they win+17→ 1635
If they lose-15→ 1603
Rich ClementiNow 1631
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.92
Sig. strikes / min
1.56
33%
Strike accuracy
37%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.56
67%
Strike defense
61%
2.91
Takedown avg.
1.92
48%
Takedown accuracy
42%
81%
Takedown defense
26%
0.70
Submission avg.
1.10

Trajectory

Gray MaynardRich Clementi
1600165020112012201320142015201620172018

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
13 (29%)
0 (0%)
Submission
23 (51%)
11 (85%)
Decision
9 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Gray Maynard67%
Rich Clementi 33%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Gray Maynard a 67% favorite over Rich Clementi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rich Clementi's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1631), separated by just 13 points.

Rich Clementi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gray Maynard finishes 15% of wins inside the distance, Rich Clementi 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.