Gray Maynard vs Roger Huerta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-7-1Record24-13-1
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamAllstars Training Center
What's at stake
Gray Maynard is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Roger Huerta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1632
If they lose-18→ 1600
If they win+13→ 1592
If they lose-11→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gray MaynardRoger Huerta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gray Maynard60%
Roger Huerta 40%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Gray Maynard a 60% favorite over Roger Huerta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Gray Maynard holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1618 to 1579, a 39-point edge.
Roger Huerta enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Gray Maynard finishes 15% of wins inside the distance, Roger Huerta 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.