Combat Edge Intelligence

Gray Maynard vs Roger Huerta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Gray Maynard
us

Gray Maynard

“The Bully”

13-7-1FeatherweightUFC

1619Solid
Roger Huerta
us

Roger Huerta

“El Matador”

24-13-1LightweightBFC

1579Solid

Tale of the tape

13-7-1Record24-13-1
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1640 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamAllstars Training Center· 1680 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

Gray Maynard is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Roger Huerta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gray MaynardNow 1619
If they win+14→ 1633
If they lose-18→ 1601
Roger HuertaNow 1579
If they win+13→ 1592
If they lose-11→ 1568

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.92
Sig. strikes / min
3.64
33%
Strike accuracy
37%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.33
67%
Strike defense
57%
2.91
Takedown avg.
2.13
48%
Takedown accuracy
46%
81%
Takedown defense
53%
0.70
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Gray MaynardRoger Huerta
1600165020172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
12 (55%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (23%)
11 (85%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Gray Maynard and Roger Huerta within a point of even.

Gray Maynard holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1619 to 1579, a 40-point edge.

Roger Huerta enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Gray Maynard finishes 15% of wins inside the distance, Roger Huerta 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.