Gray Maynard vs Ross Pearson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-7-1Record20-17-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70,0"Reach69,0"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1638 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamCentral Coast MMA
What's at stake
Gray Maynard is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ross Pearson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1633
If they lose-18→ 1601
If they win+14→ 1587
If they lose-10→ 1563
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gray MaynardRoss Pearson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ross Pearson59%
Gray Maynard 41%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Ross Pearson a 59% favorite over Gray Maynard in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gray Maynard's way (43%).
Gray Maynard holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1619 to 1573, a 46-point edge.
Ross Pearson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Gray Maynard finishes 15% of wins inside the distance, Ross Pearson 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.