Gray Maynard vs Rustam Asuev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-7-1Record10-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'7"
70,0"Reach-
145 lbsWeight149 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamFight Club Berkut
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gray MaynardRustam Asuev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rustam Asuev66%
Gray Maynard 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Asuev a 66% favorite over Gray Maynard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1622), separated by just 4 points.
Rustam Asuev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Gray Maynard finishes 15% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Asuev 30%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.