Gray Maynard vs Teruto Ishihara
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-7-1Record14-14-3
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
70,0"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1638 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
Gray Maynard is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Teruto Ishihara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1630
If they lose-21→ 1598
If they win+16→ 1528
If they lose-8→ 1504
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gray MaynardTeruto Ishihara
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gray Maynard54%
Teruto Ishihara 46%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Gray Maynard a 54% favorite over Teruto Ishihara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Gray Maynard holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1619 to 1512, a 107-point edge.
Teruto Ishihara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gray Maynard finishes 15% of wins inside the distance, Teruto Ishihara 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.