Gray Maynard vs TJ Grant
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-7-1Record21-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1638 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamFit Plus
What's at stake
TJ Grant is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Gray Maynard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1637
If they lose-14→ 1605
If they win+14→ 1667
If they lose-18→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gray MaynardTJ Grant
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Gray Maynard and TJ Grant within a point of even.
TJ Grant holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1653 to 1619, a 34-point edge.
TJ Grant enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Gray Maynard finishes 15% of wins inside the distance, TJ Grant 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.