Greg Foster vs Jon Tuck
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record11-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
-Reach73,0"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
MMA LabTeamKings MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1651
If they lose-24→ 1603
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1474 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Greg FosterJon Tuck
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jon Tuck63%
Greg Foster 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jon Tuck a 63% favorite over Greg Foster in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1628), separated by just 1 points.
Greg Foster enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Greg Foster finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Jon Tuck 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.