Greg Hardy vs Guilherme Uriel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-5-0Record7-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'1"
80"Reach-
266 lbsWeight233 lbs
Skills Sport & FitnessTeamEvolution Combat MMA
What's at stake
Guilherme Uriel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Greg Hardy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1622
If they lose-14→ 1590
If they win+14→ 1651
If they lose-18→ 1619
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Greg HardyGuilherme Uriel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Guilherme Uriel92%
Greg Hardy 8%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Guilherme Uriel a 92% favorite over Greg Hardy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Guilherme Uriel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1637 to 1604, a 33-point edge.
Greg Hardy enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Guilherme Uriel enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Greg Hardy finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Guilherme Uriel 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.