Greg Hardy vs Jon Madsen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-6-0Record8-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'0"
80"ReachTBD
266 lbsWeight222 lbs
Skills Sport & FitnessTeamHIT Squad
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1654 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Greg HardyJon Madsen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Greg Hardy74%
Jon Madsen 26%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Greg Hardy a 74% favorite over Jon Madsen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1623), separated by just 0 points.
Greg Hardy finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Jon Madsen 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.