Greg Hardy vs Juan Adams
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-5-0Record10-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'5"
80"Reach80,0"
266 lbsWeight265 lbs
Skills Sport & FitnessTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Greg Hardy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Juan Adams carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1618
If they lose-18→ 1586
If they win+18→ 1574
If they lose-14→ 1542
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Greg HardyJuan Adams
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Greg Hardy54%
Juan Adams 46%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Greg Hardy a 54% favorite over Juan Adams in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Greg Hardy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1604 to 1556, a 48-point edge.
Greg Hardy enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Juan Adams enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Greg Hardy finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Juan Adams 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.