Greg Hardy vs Marcin Tybura
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-5-0Record27-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
80"Reach78"
266 lbsWeight247 lbs
Skills Sport & FitnessTeamAnkos MMA
What's at stake
Marcin Tybura is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Greg Hardy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1625
If they lose-11→ 1593
If they win+8→ 1729
If they lose-16→ 1705
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1720 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Greg HardyMarcin Tybura
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcin Tybura72%
Greg Hardy 28%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Tybura a 72% favorite over Greg Hardy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Marcin Tybura holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1604, a 117-point edge.
Greg Hardy enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marcin Tybura enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Greg Hardy finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Tybura 63%.
Greg Hardy and Marcin Tybura share 3 common opponents: Serghei Spivac, Tai Tuivasa and Alexander Volkov.
Greg Hardy carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.