Greg Hardy vs Serghei Spivac
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-5-0Record18-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
80"Reach 78"
266 lbsWeight256 lbs
Skills Sport & FitnessTeamPolar Bear Team
What's at stake
Serghei Spivac is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Greg Hardy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1625
If they lose-11→ 1593
If they win+11→ 1734
If they lose-21→ 1702
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1724 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Greg HardySerghei Spivac
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Serghei Spivac79%
Greg Hardy 21%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Serghei Spivac a 79% favorite over Greg Hardy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Serghei Spivac holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1604, a 119-point edge.
Greg Hardy enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Greg Hardy finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Serghei Spivac 83%.
Greg Hardy and Serghei Spivac share 1 common opponent: Marcin Tybura.
Greg Hardy carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.