Greg Hardy vs Tai Tuivasa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-6-0Record14-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'2"
80"Reach75"
266 lbsWeight265 lbs
What's at stake
Greg Hardy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Tai Tuivasa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1638
If they lose-17→ 1606
If they win+17→ 1615
If they lose-15→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Greg HardyTai Tuivasa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tai Tuivasa56%
Greg Hardy 44%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Tai Tuivasa a 56% favorite over Greg Hardy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Greg Hardy's way (46%).
Greg Hardy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1623 to 1598, a 25-point edge.
Tai Tuivasa enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Greg Hardy finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Tai Tuivasa 93%.
Greg Hardy and Tai Tuivasa share 2 common opponents: Marcin Tybura and Alexander Volkov.
Greg Hardy carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.