Combat Edge Intelligence

Greg Hardy vs Tai Tuivasa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Greg Hardy
us

Greg Hardy

“Prince of War”

7-5-0HeavyweightUFC

1604Solid
Tai Tuivasa
au

Tai Tuivasa

“Bam Bam”

14-10-0HeavyweightUFC

1611Solid

Tale of the tape

7-5-0Record14-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'2"
80"Reach75"
266 lbsWeight265 lbs
Skills Sport & FitnessTeamLions High Performance Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Greg HardyNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Tai TuivasaNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.79
Sig. strikes / min
3.66
50%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.97
56%
Strike defense
44%
0.20
Takedown avg.
0
33%
Takedown accuracy
0%
64%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Greg HardyTai Tuivasa
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (86%)
KO/TKO
13 (93%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (14%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Tai Tuivasa62%
Greg Hardy 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Tai Tuivasa a 62% favorite over Greg Hardy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1611), separated by just 7 points.

Greg Hardy enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Tai Tuivasa enters on a 7-fight loss streak.

Greg Hardy finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Tai Tuivasa 93%.

Greg Hardy and Tai Tuivasa share 2 common opponents: Marcin Tybura and Alexander Volkov.

Greg Hardy carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossTKO · 2020
Marcin Tybura
LossSubmission · 2024
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2019
Alexander Volkov
LossSubmission · 2023