Greg Hardy vs Yorgan De Castro
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
9-6-0Record12-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'1"
80"Reach74"
266 lbsWeight265 lbs
What's at stake
Greg Hardy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Yorgan De Castro carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1637
If they lose-18→ 1605
If they win+18→ 1606
If they lose-14→ 1574
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Greg HardyYorgan De Castro
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Greg Hardy77%
Yorgan De Castro 23%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Greg Hardy a 77% favorite over Yorgan De Castro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Greg Hardy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1623 to 1588, a 35-point edge.
Greg Hardy finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Yorgan De Castro 83%.
Greg Hardy carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.