Combat Edge Intelligence

Greg McIntyre vs Tysen Herken

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record0-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Greg McIntyreNow 1483
If they win+24→ 1507
If they lose-24→ 1459
Tysen HerkenNow 1476
If they win+24→ 1500
If they lose-24→ 1452

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.79
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
30%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.36
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
41%
Strike defense
TBD
5.09
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Greg McIntyreTysen Herken
145015002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (80%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Tysen Herken62%
Greg McIntyre 38%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Tysen Herken a 62% favorite over Greg McIntyre in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Greg McIntyre's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1483 vs 1476), separated by just 7 points.

Greg McIntyre finishes 80% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.