Combat Edge Intelligence

Greg Soto vs Mohamed Ado

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
TBDReach76.5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Pellegrino MMATeam613 Fight Factory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Greg SotoNow 1557
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541
Mohamed AdoNow 1554
If they win+24→ 1578
If they lose-24→ 1530

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.21
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
64%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
1.49
Takedown avg.
TBD
27%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
44%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.99
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Greg SotoMohamed Ado
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
4 (44%)
Submission
4 (67%)
3 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mohamed Ado66%
Greg Soto 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mohamed Ado a 66% favorite over Greg Soto in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Greg Soto's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1557 vs 1554), separated by just 3 points.

Greg Soto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Greg Soto finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Mohamed Ado 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.