Greg Soto vs Nick Osipczak
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Pellegrino MMATeamTeam Rough House
What's at stake
Nick Osipczak is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Greg Soto carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1574
If they lose-15→ 1542
If they win+22→ 1605
If they lose-26→ 1557
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Greg Soto51%
Nick Osipczak 49%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Greg Soto a 51% favorite over Nick Osipczak in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nick Osipczak's way (46%).
Nick Osipczak holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1583 to 1557, a 26-point edge.
Greg Soto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Greg Soto finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Nick Osipczak 100%.
Greg Soto and Nick Osipczak share 2 common opponents: Matthew Riddle and Matt Riddle.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (2)
Loss Illegal Upkick · 2010
Win Punches · 2009