Combat Edge Intelligence

Greg Wilson vs Ryo Sakai

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryo Sakai
jp

Ryo Sakai

“Raging Bull”

15-16-0HeavyweightRFF

1491Average

Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record15-16-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height5'11"
41,0"Reach-
265 lbsWeight246 lbs
TeamRanger Gym

What's at stake

Ryo Sakai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Greg Wilson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Greg WilsonNow 1476
If they win+25→ 1501
If they lose-23→ 1453
Ryo SakaiNow 1491
If they win+11→ 1502
If they lose-13→ 1478

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.68
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
33%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
31%
Strike defense
TBD
1.68
Takedown avg.
TBD
17%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
33%
Takedown defense
TBD
8.41
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Greg WilsonRyo Sakai
150015502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryo Sakai54%
Greg Wilson 46%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Sakai a 54% favorite over Greg Wilson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Ryo Sakai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1491 to 1476, a 15-point edge.

Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryo Sakai 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.