Gregor Gillespie vs Kevin Lee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
14-1-0Record20-9-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
71,0"Reach77"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Bellmore Kickboxing AcademyTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Gregor Gillespie is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Kevin Lee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1785
If they lose-19→ 1753
If they win+14→ 1725
If they lose-10→ 1701
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gregor GillespieKevin Lee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gregor Gillespie60%
Kevin Lee 40%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Gregor Gillespie a 60% favorite over Kevin Lee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Gregor Gillespie holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1772 to 1711, a 61-point edge.
Gregor Gillespie finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Lee 60%.
Kevin Lee carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.