Gregor Gillespie vs Natan Schulte
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-1-0Record26-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
71,0"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Bellmore Kickboxing AcademyTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1789
If they lose-16→ 1757
If they win+12→ 1784
If they lose-12→ 1760
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gregor GillespieNatan Schulte
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Natan Schulte70%
Gregor Gillespie 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Natan Schulte a 70% favorite over Gregor Gillespie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gregor Gillespie's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1773 vs 1772), separated by just 1 points.
Gregor Gillespie finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Natan Schulte 54%.
Gregor Gillespie carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.