Combat Edge Intelligence

Gregor Gillespie vs Yancy Medeiros

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-1-0Record16-9-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
71,0"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight165 lbs
Bellmore Kickboxing AcademyTeamTeam Hakuilua

What's at stake

Gregor Gillespie is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Yancy Medeiros carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gregor GillespieNow 1772
If they win+9→ 1781
If they lose-23→ 1749
Yancy MedeirosNow 1610
If they win+23→ 1633
If they lose-9→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.74
Sig. strikes / min
4.36
53%
Strike accuracy
37%
2.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.67
58%
Strike defense
47%
6.86
Takedown avg.
0.33
48%
Takedown accuracy
17%
100%
Takedown defense
74%
0.76
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Gregor GillespieYancy Medeiros
1600165017001750201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
5 (36%)
Submission
4 (25%)
2 (14%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Gregor Gillespie84%
Yancy Medeiros 16%Elo baseline: 72%

The Combat Edge model makes Gregor Gillespie a 84% favorite over Yancy Medeiros in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).

Gregor Gillespie holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1772 to 1610, a 162-point edge.

Gregor Gillespie finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Yancy Medeiros 75%.

Yancy Medeiros carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.