Guan Wang vs Vinicius Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-1-1Record24-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'9"
42,0"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamSombra Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1761
If they lose-16→ 1729
If they win+16→ 1755
If they lose-16→ 1723
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Guan WangVinicius Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vinicius Oliveira66%
Guan Wang 34%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Vinicius Oliveira a 66% favorite over Guan Wang in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Guan Wang's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1745 vs 1739), separated by just 6 points.
Guan Wang enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Guan Wang finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Vinicius Oliveira 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.