Combat Edge Intelligence

Guan Wang vs Yair Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Guan Wang
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Guan Wang

“The Dongbei Tiger”

22-1-1FeatherweightUFC

1745Good

Tale of the tape

22-1-1Record20-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'11"
42,0"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top TeamTeamValle Flow Striking

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Guan WangNow 1745
If they win+16→ 1761
If they lose-16→ 1729
Yair RodriguezNow 1751
If they win+16→ 1767
If they lose-16→ 1735

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.73
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
43%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.99
60%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
0.69
0%
Takedown accuracy
27%
0%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
0.69

Trajectory

Guan WangYair Rodriguez
170017502016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

15 (68%)
KO/TKO
8 (40%)
1 (5%)
Submission
5 (25%)
6 (27%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Yair Rodriguez56%
Guan Wang 44%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Yair Rodriguez a 56% favorite over Guan Wang in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1745 vs 1751), separated by just 6 points.

Guan Wang enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Guan Wang finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Yair Rodriguez 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.