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Combat Edge Intelligence

Guangyou Ning vs Jacob Pais

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Jacob Pais
us

Jacob Pais

“El Tortuga”

1-1-0FeatherweightPFL

1503Average

Tale of the tape

5-4-1Record1-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'11"
64,0"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamKAMICUOZZI MMA & FITNESS

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Guangyou NingNow 1505
If they win+24→ 1529
If they lose-24→ 1481
Jacob PaisNow 1503
If they win+24→ 1527
If they lose-24→ 1479

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.66
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
42%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
61%
Strike defense
Not available
1.09
Takedown avg.
Not available
50%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
63%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.27
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Guangyou NingJacob Pais
15001550201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
1 (100%)
1 (20%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jacob Pais66%
Guangyou Ning 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jacob Pais a 66% favorite over Guangyou Ning in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Guangyou Ning's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1505 vs 1503), separated by just 2 points.

Guangyou Ning enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Guangyou Ning finishes 80% of wins inside the distance.

Jacob Pais carries a 9-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.