Combat Edge Intelligence

Guangyou Ning vs Lorenzo de Nigris

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-4-1Record2-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'7"
64,0"Reach-
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamLigorio Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Guangyou NingNow 1505
If they win+24→ 1529
If they lose-24→ 1481
Lorenzo de NigrisNow 1501
If they win+24→ 1525
If they lose-24→ 1477

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.66
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
42%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
61%
Strike defense
TBD
1.09
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
63%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.27
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Guangyou NingLorenzo de Nigris
15001550201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (20%)
Submission
2 (100%)
1 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Lorenzo de Nigris60%
Guangyou Ning 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Lorenzo de Nigris a 60% favorite over Guangyou Ning in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Guangyou Ning's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1505 vs 1501), separated by just 4 points.

Guangyou Ning enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Guangyou Ning finishes 80% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.