Guido Cannetti vs Kris Moutinho
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-8-0Record14-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Our Town MMATeamRivera Athletic Center
What's at stake
Kris Moutinho is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Guido Cannetti carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1536
If they lose-13→ 1504
If they win+13→ 1598
If they lose-19→ 1566
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Guido CannettiKris Moutinho
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kris Moutinho72%
Guido Cannetti 28%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Kris Moutinho a 72% favorite over Guido Cannetti in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Kris Moutinho holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1585 to 1517, a 68-point edge.
Guido Cannetti enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kris Moutinho enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Guido Cannetti finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Kris Moutinho 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.