Combat Edge Intelligence

Guido Cannetti vs Mana Martinez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-8-0Record10-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'10"
68"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight137 lbs

What's at stake

Mana Martinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Guido Cannetti carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Guido CannettiNow 1517
If they win+19→ 1536
If they lose-13→ 1504
Mana MartinezNow 1578
If they win+13→ 1591
If they lose-19→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.44
Sig. strikes / min
4.33
55%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.94
51%
Strike defense
50%
2.27
Takedown avg.
0.72
55%
Takedown accuracy
43%
65%
Takedown defense
25%
0.41
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Guido CannettiMana Martinez
150015501600165020232024

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
8 (80%)
4 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (20%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Mana Martinez63%
Guido Cannetti 37%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Mana Martinez a 63% favorite over Guido Cannetti in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Mana Martinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1578 to 1517, a 61-point edge.

Guido Cannetti enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mana Martinez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Guido Cannetti finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Mana Martinez 80%.

Mana Martinez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.