Guido Cannetti vs Mana Martinez
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Mana Martinez69%
Guido Cannetti 31%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Mana Martinez a 69% favorite over Guido Cannetti in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Mana Martinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1580 to 1517, a 63-point edge.
Guido Cannetti enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mana Martinez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Guido Cannetti finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Mana Martinez 80%.
Mana Martinez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
10-8-0Record10-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'10"
68"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight137 lbs
Our Town MMATeamGlory MMA & Fitness
What's at stake
Mana Martinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Guido Cannetti carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1536
If they lose-13→ 1504
If they win+13→ 1593
If they lose-19→ 1561
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Guido CannettiMana Martinez