Guido Cannetti vs Matthew Lopez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-8-0Record10-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68"Reach69.00
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Our Town MMATeamGenesis Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1533
If they lose-16→ 1501
If they win+24→ 1536
If they lose-24→ 1488
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Guido CannettiMatthew Lopez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matthew Lopez53%
Guido Cannetti 47%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Matthew Lopez a 53% favorite over Guido Cannetti in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Guido Cannetti's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1517 vs 1512), separated by just 5 points.
Guido Cannetti enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matthew Lopez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Guido Cannetti finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Matthew Lopez 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.