Guido Cannetti vs Randy Costa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-8-0Record8-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'10"
68"Reach73"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Our Town MMATeamLauzon MMA
What's at stake
Randy Costa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Guido Cannetti carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1535
If they lose-14→ 1503
If they win+14→ 1575
If they lose-18→ 1543
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Guido CannettiRandy Costa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Randy Costa72%
Guido Cannetti 28%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Randy Costa a 72% favorite over Guido Cannetti in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Randy Costa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1561 to 1517, a 44-point edge.
Guido Cannetti enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Guido Cannetti finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Randy Costa 100%.
Randy Costa carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.