Combat Edge Intelligence

Guido Cannetti vs Tarcísio Romano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-8-0Record12-8-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68"Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Our Town MMATeamCerrado MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Guido CannettiNow 1517
If they win+16→ 1533
If they lose-16→ 1501
Tarcísio RomanoNow 1518
If they win+16→ 1534
If they lose-16→ 1502

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.44
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
55%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
2.27
Takedown avg.
TBD
55%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
65%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.41
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Guido CannettiTarcísio Romano
150015502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
4 (40%)
Submission
2 (17%)
2 (20%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Tarcísio Romano81%
Guido Cannetti 19%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tarcísio Romano a 81% favorite over Guido Cannetti in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1517 vs 1518), separated by just 1 points.

Guido Cannetti enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Guido Cannetti finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Tarcísio Romano 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.