Guilherme Uriel vs Matt Mitrione
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record13-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
74"Reach43,0"
233 lbsWeight255 lbs
Evolution Combat MMATeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1708 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Guilherme UrielMatt Mitrione
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Mitrione58%
Guilherme Uriel 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Mitrione a 58% favorite over Guilherme Uriel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Guilherme Uriel's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1632), separated by just 3 points.
Guilherme Uriel enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Matt Mitrione enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Guilherme Uriel finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Matt Mitrione 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.