Combat Edge Intelligence

Guilherme Uriel vs Ron Waterman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record16-6-2
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
74"ReachTBD
233 lbsWeight260 lbs
Evolution Combat MMATeamColorado Stars

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Guilherme UrielNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
Ron WatermanNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.84
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.37
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.19
TBD
Takedown accuracy
69%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.79

Trajectory

Guilherme UrielRon Waterman
15501600165020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
4 (50%)
Submission
8 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Guilherme Uriel81%
Ron Waterman 19%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Guilherme Uriel a 81% favorite over Ron Waterman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1637), separated by just 0 points.

Guilherme Uriel enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Guilherme Uriel finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ron Waterman 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.