Guilherme Vasconcelos vs Luke Zachrich
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
BH RhinosTeamRonin Training Center
What's at stake
Luke Zachrich is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Guilherme Vasconcelos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1590
If they lose-13→ 1558
If they win+13→ 1657
If they lose-19→ 1625
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1502 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Guilherme VasconcelosLuke Zachrich
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luke Zachrich53%
Guilherme Vasconcelos 47%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Luke Zachrich a 53% favorite over Guilherme Vasconcelos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Luke Zachrich holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1571, a 73-point edge.
Guilherme Vasconcelos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Guilherme Vasconcelos finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Luke Zachrich 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.