Combat Edge Intelligence

Guilherme Vasconcelos vs Theoren Thorn

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record5-2-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight175 lbs
BH RhinosTeamKaizen MMA & Yoga

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Guilherme VasconcelosNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
Theoren ThornNow 1575
If they win+24→ 1599
If they lose-24→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.27
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
30%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
71%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Guilherme VasconcelosTheoren Thorn
1550160020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
5 (50%)
Submission
2 (40%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Theoren Thorn67%
Guilherme Vasconcelos 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Theoren Thorn a 67% favorite over Guilherme Vasconcelos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1575), separated by just 3 points.

Guilherme Vasconcelos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Guilherme Vasconcelos finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Theoren Thorn 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.