Gunnar Nelson vs Kuniyoshi Hironaka
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-6-1Record23-9-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
72"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight153 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694
If they win+12→ 1722
If they lose-12→ 1698
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gunnar NelsonKuniyoshi Hironaka
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gunnar Nelson70%
Kuniyoshi Hironaka 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gunnar Nelson a 70% favorite over Kuniyoshi Hironaka in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1710 vs 1710), separated by just 0 points.
Gunnar Nelson finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Kuniyoshi Hironaka 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.