Gunnar Nelson vs Taiyilake Nueraji
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-6-1Record12-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'2"
72"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
MjolnirTeamEnbo Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693
If they win+16→ 1724
If they lose-16→ 1692
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1716 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gunnar NelsonTaiyilake Nueraji
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Taiyilake Nueraji70%
Gunnar Nelson 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Taiyilake Nueraji a 70% favorite over Gunnar Nelson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gunnar Nelson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1709 vs 1708), separated by just 1 points.
Taiyilake Nueraji enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Gunnar Nelson finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Taiyilake Nueraji 100%.
Taiyilake Nueraji carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.