Gunnar Nelson vs Zak Cummings
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
19-6-1Record25-7-0
WelterweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'0"
72"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight205 lbs
MjolnirTeamFactory X
What's at stake
Zak Cummings is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Gunnar Nelson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1726
If they lose-15→ 1694
If they win+11→ 1750
If they lose-13→ 1726
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1716 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gunnar NelsonZak Cummings
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gunnar Nelson52%
Zak Cummings 48%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Gunnar Nelson a 52% favorite over Zak Cummings in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Zak Cummings's way (46%).
Zak Cummings holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1739 to 1709, a 30-point edge.
Zak Cummings enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Gunnar Nelson finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Zak Cummings 72%.
Gunnar Nelson and Zak Cummings share 1 common opponent: Santiago Ponzinibbio.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.