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Combat Edge Intelligence

Guram Mestvirishvili vs Jarrod Kwitty

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-3-0Record2-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
TBDHeight5'8"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1628 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamGracie Academy Torrance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Guram MestvirishviliNow 1501
If they win+24→ 1525
If they lose-24→ 1477
Jarrod KwittyNow 1502
If they win+24→ 1526
If they lose-24→ 1478

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Guram MestvirishviliJarrod Kwitty
1450150020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (50%)
1 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Guram Mestvirishvili59%
Jarrod Kwitty 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Guram Mestvirishvili a 59% favorite over Jarrod Kwitty in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jarrod Kwitty's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1501 vs 1502), separated by just 1 points.

Jarrod Kwitty enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.