Gustavo García vs Jake Lindsey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-4-0Record15-10-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight5'11"
-ReachTBD
152 lbsWeight170 lbs
TeamCombative Sports Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1443
If they lose-24→ 1395
If they win+16→ 1439
If they lose-16→ 1407
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gustavo GarcíaJake Lindsey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake Lindsey52%
Gustavo García 48%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Lindsey a 52% favorite over Gustavo García in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1419 vs 1423), separated by just 4 points.
Jake Lindsey enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jake Lindsey 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.