Gustavo García vs Keenan Raymond
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-4-0Record3-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeightTBD
-ReachTBD
152 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Gustavo García is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Keenan Raymond carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1440
If they lose-27→ 1392
If they win+18→ 1388
If they lose-14→ 1356
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gustavo GarcíaKeenan Raymond
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gustavo García58%
Keenan Raymond 42%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Gustavo García a 58% favorite over Keenan Raymond in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Gustavo García holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1419 to 1370, a 49-point edge.
Keenan Raymond enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Keenan Raymond 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.