Gustavo García vs Robert Breslin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-4-0Record3-9-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'11"
-ReachTBD
152 lbsWeight155 lbs
TeamBreslins Freestyle Fight Team
What's at stake
Gustavo García is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Robert Breslin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1441
If they lose-26→ 1393
If they win+26→ 1410
If they lose-22→ 1362
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gustavo GarcíaRobert Breslin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gustavo García60%
Robert Breslin 40%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Gustavo García a 60% favorite over Robert Breslin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Gustavo García holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1419 to 1384, a 35-point edge.
Robert Breslin enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Robert Breslin 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.