Gustavo Lopez vs Jake Hadley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-8-1Record12-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
67"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTeam Fearless
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1653
If they lose-12→ 1629
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gustavo LopezJake Hadley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake Hadley62%
Gustavo Lopez 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Hadley a 62% favorite over Gustavo Lopez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gustavo Lopez's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1640), separated by just 1 points.
Gustavo Lopez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jake Hadley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gustavo Lopez finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Jake Hadley 75%.
Jake Hadley carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.