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Combat Edge Intelligence

Gustavo Lopez vs Lito Adiwang

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Lito Adiwang
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Lito Adiwang

“Thunder Kid”

18-6-0BantamweightONE

1646Solid

Tale of the tape

16-8-1Record18-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'4"
67"Reach65.4"
145 lbsWeight134 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTeam Lakay

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gustavo LopezNow 1645
If they win+12→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1633
Lito AdiwangNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Gustavo LopezLito Adiwang
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (44%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
8 (50%)
Submission
4 (22%)
1 (6%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Lito Adiwang65%
Gustavo Lopez 35%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lito Adiwang a 65% favorite over Gustavo Lopez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1646), separated by just 1 points.

Gustavo Lopez enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Gustavo Lopez finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Lito Adiwang 78%.

Gustavo Lopez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.