AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Gustavo Pintos vs Keiichiro Nakamura

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record8-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71"Reach70"
146 lbsWeight146 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gustavo PintosNow 1677
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661
Keiichiro NakamuraNow 1677
If they win+24→ 1701
If they lose-24→ 1653

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.48
Not available
Strike accuracy
42%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.28
Not available
Strike defense
64%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
79%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gustavo PintosKeiichiro Nakamura
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (64%)
KO/TKO
7 (88%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (36%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Keiichiro Nakamura53%
Gustavo Pintos 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Keiichiro Nakamura a 53% favorite over Gustavo Pintos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gustavo Pintos's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1677), separated by just 0 points.

Keiichiro Nakamura enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Gustavo Pintos finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Keiichiro Nakamura 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.