Gustavo Rocha vs Wes Schultz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-3-0Record9-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
-Reach77"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Alcateia MMA· 1554 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamPura Vida BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1628
If they lose-24→ 1580
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gustavo RochaWes Schultz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Wes Schultz51%
Gustavo Rocha 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Wes Schultz a 51% favorite over Gustavo Rocha in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gustavo Rocha's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1602), separated by just 2 points.
Gustavo Rocha finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Wes Schultz 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.