Gustavo Sousa vs Jason Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record23-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Lucas Mineiro· 1654 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTeam Mayhem
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
If they win+12→ 1639
If they lose-12→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gustavo SousaJason Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gustavo Sousa53%
Jason Miller 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gustavo Sousa a 53% favorite over Jason Miller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1627), separated by just 2 points.
Gustavo Sousa enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jason Miller enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Gustavo Sousa finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jason Miller 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.