Combat Edge Intelligence

Guto Inocente vs Karl Albrektsson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record14-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReach75.50"
254 lbsWeight205 lbs
Real Kombat TechniqueTeamPancrase Gym Sweden

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Guto InocenteNow 1496
If they win+24→ 1520
If they lose-24→ 1472
Karl AlbrektssonNow 1497
If they win+16→ 1513
If they lose-16→ 1481

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1609 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.13
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
67%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
55%
Strike defense
TBD
0.67
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.67
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Guto InocenteKarl Albrektsson
15001550202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
3 (30%)
Submission
3 (21%)
1 (10%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Karl Albrektsson58%
Guto Inocente 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Karl Albrektsson a 58% favorite over Guto Inocente in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1496 vs 1497), separated by just 1 points.

Guto Inocente enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Karl Albrektsson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Guto Inocente finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Karl Albrektsson 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.