Guto Inocente vs Regan Upshaw
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record0-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
254 lbsWeight205 lbs
Real Kombat TechniqueTeamHavoc MMA
What's at stake
Guto Inocente is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Regan Upshaw carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1519
If they lose-25→ 1471
If they win+25→ 1503
If they lose-23→ 1455
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1609 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Regan Upshaw72%
Guto Inocente 28%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Regan Upshaw a 72% favorite over Guto Inocente in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Guto Inocente's way (47%).
Guto Inocente holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1496 to 1478, a 18-point edge.
Guto Inocente enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Guto Inocente finishes 90% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.